[PacHead]

Here's why Kerry is in deep crap.

I heard some numbers yesterday, and it appears the Dems are practically split down the middle.

What's Kerry's position on Iraq ? Is he going to play the pro-war, war-hero and claim he is strong against the terrorists ? about half of his party - The Mooreon, dean loving, anti-war part is going to get pissed off.

Is he going to be soft on the war in order to please these people ? The other half of his party (who actually is pro-war) will get pissed off.

The republicans are pretty much in agreement, in regards to Bush and the war. Kerry is the candidate of a group of people who are very much in disagreement among themselves.

Also, the swift ads will continue to come and cause damage, and the RNC is going great, and the other side knows it, hence all the childish comments coming from certain fools.

Things are certainly looking pretty good for Bush at the moment.

Can't wait for the debates. No matter which stance Kerry takes on certain issues, it will hurt him, and many in his own party will disagree with him.

[itai195]

Eh? I doubt anyone who opposed the war would vote for Bush, regardless of what Kerry says. And if they would still vote for Bush, then the war obviously wasn't a particularly important issue to them.

[PacHead]

Originally posted by itai195:
Eh? I doubt anyone who opposed the war would vote for Bush, regardless of what Kerry says. And if they would still vote for Bush, then the war obviously wasn't a particularly important issue to them.

I'm not saying those people will either.They're on a sinking ship though, so it doesn't really matter what those people do.

The undecided however will move to Bush, some already have. There's been that dem senator who defected, there's Arnold, who appeals to many, and there's the swift ads.

Unlike Kerry, expect a nice jump for Bush in the next polls, when the RNC is done.

[KaBlooey]

Will you fix your sig, it does not load and always hangs the page while trying.

[PacHead]

Originally posted by KaBlooey:
Will you fix your sig, it does not load and always hangs the page while trying.

Yeah, i noticed that. I'll fix it.

[boots]

Originally posted by PacHead:
...There's been that dem senator who defected....

Zell Miller has always been a conservative. In interviews he says the only reason he is a democrat is because he was raised as one. Old party lines weren't the same as they are now. His generation in that particular part of the country can "cross" party lines pretty easily. The label is only in name, not in substance.

What is more disturbing is the Mayor of St. Paul, MN (Randy Kelly) supporting Bush. That has ticked a lot of people off, but kudos for not blindly following the heard. I disagree with him, but think he's on solid ground.

I have also seen a lot of numbers...many of the reports say the dems are split and the republicans are unified....but others say the opposite...and give very different reasons for why.

I know people on the left who are jumping on board with Bush....
I know people on the right who are switching to Kerry....

I think the dynamics this year are a bit too weird to be calling anything yet.

I wasn't surprised that Kerry didn't get a bump in the polls after the DNC, and I would be surprised if Bush gets much of a real bump after the RNC. Wait for the debates and see what happens then. I think this one will come down to the last state like it did in 2000.

[KaBlooey]

Originally posted by PacHead:
The republicans are pretty much in agreement, in regards to Bush and the war. Kerry is the candidate of a group of people who are very much in disagreement among themselves.

Yes, there are certainly differences among Dems regarding Kerry and the war, and they are quite open about it. The difference between the Dems and Republicans when it comes to disagreeing is that the Reps cover it up and lie in plain sight. Do you think that the majority of the RNC speakers thus far actually represent the direction the Bush admin has taken? Guiliani, Ahnold, McCain? Bully for them for banding together, but it's naive to think that they're in agreement about everything or that they represent the Bush administration.

Even FAUX News and Joe Scarborough at MSNBC openly acknowledge that the administration is presenting a facade at the RNC.

[spacefreak]

Originally posted by itai195:
Eh? I doubt anyone who opposed the war would vote for Bush, regardless of what Kerry says.

I agree, but I think the issue is whether they will vote for Kerry, or vote at all.