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Search: Posts Made By: stupendousman
Thread Thread Starter Last Post Replies Views Forum
RvW doesn't necessarily have to be "shot down." ... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
RvW doesn't necessarily have to be "shot down."

Abortion can be kept legal, in the cases of rape, incest or risk to the life of the mother.

Polling shows that despite what the media and the...
Posted by stupendousman, on Nov 6, 2012 at 02:56 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Yeah, they should. However, year after year... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Yeah, they should. However, year after year major polls just get it wrong. Either they don't know as much, or they are distorting the polls on purpose. Though, this is really nothing more than...
Posted by stupendousman, on Nov 1, 2012 at 07:04 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I don't claim to know the voodoo Silver uses to... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I don't claim to know the voodoo Silver uses to produce his guesses, based on the guesses of others.
Posted by stupendousman, on Nov 1, 2012 at 07:00 AM, in Political/War Lounge
You've still not provided the proof. I've seen... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
You've still not provided the proof. I've seen lots of threads where I explained that Obama's lead was exaggerated (it was) and could end up leaving people wondering (it did) why most all the polls...
Posted by stupendousman, on Nov 1, 2012 at 02:47 AM, in Political/War Lounge
...when apparently some polls where showing a... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
...when apparently some polls where showing a toss up within the margin of error, and others where basing their polling on up to a 12 point Democrat advantage that never materialized.



Most of...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 07:18 PM, in Political/War Lounge
Still looking for a prediction by me, that Obama... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Still looking for a prediction by me, that Obama would surely lose anytime after whatever "swing" the convention gave McCain.

All those responses are me, saying that the polls showing things like...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 01:34 PM, in Political/War Lounge
Your entire reply which reduced my explanations... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Your entire reply which reduced my explanations of reasons you couldn't refute into a distortion, then finished with an "I get it" was a personal attack. Are you really suggesting that ignoring what...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 07:15 AM, in Political/War Lounge
No, you don't get it. I'm pretty sure you're... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
No, you don't get it. I'm pretty sure you're either incapable of getting it, or so partisan that you're stooping to dishonesty to pretend you don't get it.

I listed the REASONS why the polls in...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 06:31 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Chiropractors serve a need and as long as you... 1,852 Views / 80 Replies  
Chiropractors serve a need and as long as you know (and they know) their limitations, they can be helpful.

If you have chronic problems or something that lasts more than a week or so, you need to...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 04:49 AM, in Political/War Lounge
An average makes the assumption that the polls on... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
An average makes the assumption that the polls on either of the ends of the spectrum are likely wrong.

If you can show logically that polls on just one end of the spectrum are based on false...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 04:39 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Besson: There's a simple test here. The... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Besson: There's a simple test here.

The polls can't all be right. Some have Obama up 1, and at least one has him down 5. That's not within the margin of error.

The ones showing Obama up one...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 31, 2012 at 03:13 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I don't. What I do know is that at least 2... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I don't. What I do know is that at least 2 pollsters actually poll for likely voter data, and most others simply guess using the last election as it's basis.

It's my opinion that the LV model...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 12:07 PM, in Political/War Lounge
Does more recent data refute the trend they... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Does more recent data refute the trend they outline?



You don't have to "pick the polls more favorable to Romney." If you take ANY poll, apply weighting based on recent likely voter trend...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 10:54 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Depends. If state polls are going with the... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Depends. If state polls are going with the general 2008 numbers and using +7 Obama for weighting, and it's really at best +4, then polls like in Ohio where it's shown Romney up 2, tied or Obama with...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 07:29 AM, in Political/War Lounge
http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 07:27 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I don't believe he's necessarily ahead in the... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I don't believe he's necessarily ahead in the electoral vote either. If you look at the polls, see the weighting, and then look at the undecideds - especially in states like Ohio, it's unlikely...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 04:39 AM, in Political/War Lounge
We had no incumbent/challenger in 2008. Both... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
We had no incumbent/challenger in 2008. Both where challengers. That is one of the major influences in the "wild card" nature of 2008.

As far as "clear record of consistency," I'm simply...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 04:31 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I believe he's talking about the popular vote,... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I believe he's talking about the popular vote, and that can be roughly estimated using polling data and historical precedence.

Right now, RCP's average puts Romney up about 1 point. They still...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 30, 2012 at 02:43 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I'm pretty sure that was when there was a tie... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I'm pretty sure that was when there was a tie within the margin of error, and they were giving him 12 points. Probably around the time of the Republican Convention.
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 29, 2012 at 05:21 PM, in Political/War Lounge
I don't think I predicted McCain to win. I do... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I don't think I predicted McCain to win. I do believe I claimed that the polls showing Obama would beat him by 12-14 points where way off, and they where.

Rasmussen hit it the closest in 2008 in...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 29, 2012 at 06:33 AM, in Political/War Lounge
If that's the case, then it's highly unlikely... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
If that's the case, then it's highly unlikely that party breakdown will be what it was in 2008, which is what polls showing Obama up are reporting. I think the link I offered goes over that.


...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 29, 2012 at 06:19 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Rasmussen has it tied at 48, with 3 percent still... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Rasmussen has it tied at 48, with 3 percent still undecided. Undecideds in an election with an incumbent normally swings to the challenger as a majority. Especially a candidate with the economic...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 05:16 PM, in Political/War Lounge
So you are saying that their data shows the same... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
So you are saying that their data shows the same or greater enthusiasm as 2008?

I've seen no poll data that shows that. If those using +7 - 12 Dem enthusiasm advantage have polls to show that,...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 05:10 PM, in Political/War Lounge
Past precedence. Romney has a history of... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Past precedence. Romney has a history of leading in ways that get things accomplished, and does it in a less partisan fashion.

While he is by no means a perfect candidate, he has the background...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 09:02 AM, in Political/War Lounge
...for campaigning. Most likely, not for... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
...for campaigning. Most likely, not for leading.
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 07:42 AM, in Political/War Lounge
I don't think he has an "inability." I think... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
I don't think he has an "inability." I think he's choosing to remain vague, just as the last guy who got into office did. It's apparently a winning strategy that the Democrats had no problem with 4...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 06:36 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Rasmussen has been pretty accurate the past... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Rasmussen has been pretty accurate the past couple of Presidential polls. The reason why is that he polls specifically on voter ID and turnout to determine weighting. The other guys are either...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 06:31 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Rasmussen isn't "calling" anything yet. We've... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Rasmussen isn't "calling" anything yet. We've still got a week or so to go.

Ohio? You mean the state where most of the polls are still using 2008 weighting and there's 3 percent undecided?
...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 05:52 AM, in Political/War Lounge
The last 4 years is proof of that. 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
The last 4 years is proof of that.
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 27, 2012 at 05:46 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Badkosh: You got it. To believe the spin... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Badkosh: You got it.

To believe the spin about Obama's comments, you have to believe that he classifed the attack as a "terrorist attack" from the get go, and then spent the next several weeks...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 12:23 PM, in Political/War Lounge
Where did I do that in my post? 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
Where did I do that in my post?
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 12:20 PM, in Political/War Lounge
It would be like the police coming across a dead... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
It would be like the police coming across a dead body, not yet knowing if it where murder, and saying that they work hard to keep everyone safe from senseless, violent crime.

Did the police then...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 10:39 AM, in Political/War Lounge
The point of the rebuttal to Romney's point was... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
The point of the rebuttal to Romney's point was Obama saying that he made it clear that it was a terrorist attack the next day.

Sorry, but a unplanned uprising due to outrage over a Youtube video...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 10:35 AM, in Political/War Lounge
So we don't like terror attacks. Given that the... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
So we don't like terror attacks. Given that the White House, time after time for 2 weeks after this attack said it wasn't a terrorist attack, but rather a unplanned event inspired by a Youtube...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 10:17 AM, in Political/War Lounge
The moderator of the debate stopped Romney from... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
The moderator of the debate stopped Romney from talking 3 times more than she did Obama.

Was it because Romney was dominating the time speaking? Of course not, like the other two debates, the...
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 17, 2012 at 10:15 AM, in Political/War Lounge
The one thing positive you can say about Biden... 7,382 Views / 496 Replies  
The one thing positive you can say about Biden and his goofy "drunk uncle" grin and performance:

His teeth were so white, they're voting for Romney.
Posted by stupendousman, on Oct 13, 2012 at 03:18 PM, in Political/War Lounge
The part where the temperatures are not going up,... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
The part where the temperatures are not going up, but down for the most part.

We have not seen the dramatic temperature gains that where claimed would be upon us within 20 years which would cause...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 8, 2012 at 07:24 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Warming, cooling. The climate changes. This is... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
Warming, cooling. The climate changes. This is the case even absent human induced carbon. This has been the case before humans where on the planet.

However, CAGW has not occurred, and it...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 8, 2012 at 06:20 AM, in Political/War Lounge
The fact I never made such a claim (nor believe... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
The fact I never made such a claim (nor believe what you claim), unfortunately, shows the desperation of your argument. I never said "into infinity." I simply stated that it would continue until it...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 8, 2012 at 03:09 AM, in Political/War Lounge
No one provided you a "quote". It was stated... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
No one provided you a "quote". It was stated generally that people claimed that it was "settled science" that increases in C02 would result in continued warming. If that was not the case, then...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 7, 2012 at 04:48 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Again, you're asking for evidence while... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
Again, you're asking for evidence while foreshadowing your imminent dismissal of the source as not "reputable" once the evidence is gathered up and presented.

You're not looking for evidence,...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 7, 2012 at 03:05 AM, in Political/War Lounge
Why on Earth would he bother? You've already... 7,148 Views / 385 Replies  
Why on Earth would he bother? You've already essentially gone on record as showing it wouldn't matter anyway, which is why I never bothered. That's troll-like behavior. ::SIGH::

We spent almost...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 6, 2012 at 04:55 PM, in Political/War Lounge
I'm suggesting that Obama sheltering documents... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
I'm suggesting that Obama sheltering documents related to a program his administration oversaw WHICH DID result in at least 300 unnecessary deaths, is a lot more important than whatever Romney paid...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 5, 2012 at 03:48 PM, in Political/War Lounge
I can't see why people would be up in arms about... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
I can't see why people would be up in arms about tax releases when the President has never saw fit to release any of the documents which would shed more light on his past, and even his CURRENT role...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 5, 2012 at 11:02 AM, in Political/War Lounge
It's hard when he keeps it sealed in an envelope... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
It's hard when he keeps it sealed in an envelope that he won't let anyone see.



My?

I'm not enamored of Romney, but he's got more positives than Obama. Romney has a pretty good track record...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 3, 2012 at 03:13 PM, in Political/War Lounge
No. I'm comparing insisting on providing more... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
No. I'm comparing insisting on providing more information where there is no evidence of wrongdoing, to trying to cover-up where there clearly was wrongdoing involved.

If it's simply requesting...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 3, 2012 at 11:37 AM, in Political/War Lounge
No. Compared to President Obama's "Fast and... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
No. Compared to President Obama's "Fast and Furious" plan he claims executive privilege on.

Like I said...looks like some will have to sit this one out.
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 2, 2012 at 08:10 PM, in Political/War Lounge
So only old guys ever have erection problems? ... 6,535 Views / 435 Replies  
So only old guys ever have erection problems?

I can't speak from personal experience, but I seriously doubt that.
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 2, 2012 at 04:51 PM, in Political/War Lounge
The point is, Obama and the Democrats are the... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
The point is, Obama and the Democrats are the LAST PEOPLE who should be crying for transparency. Unless you don't have a problem with gross hypocrisy.
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 1, 2012 at 11:38 AM, in Political/War Lounge
How many deaths are Romney's tax returns... 3,919 Views / 201 Replies  
How many deaths are Romney's tax returns responsible for?



http://www.therightsphere.com/2012/04/president-flip-flop-barack-obamas-broken-promises-policy-reversals-and-continuous-flip-flops/
...
Posted by stupendousman, on Aug 1, 2012 at 04:45 AM, in Political/War Lounge
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