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You are here: MacNN Forums > Community > MacNN Lounge > Canadian Election Result Predictions

View Poll Results: What Do You Think?
Poll Options:
Liberal Majority 2 votes (6.45%)
Liberal Minority 16 votes (51.61%)
Conservative Majority 5 votes (16.13%)
Conservative Minority 6 votes (19.35%)
New Democrat Majority 1 votes (3.23%)
New Democrat Minority 0 votes (0%)
Other 1 votes (3.23%)
Voters: 31. You may not vote on this poll
Canadian Election Result Predictions
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quandarry
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Jun 28, 2004, 03:32 AM
 
for us "canucks" it's election day today...

minority?

( Last edited by quandarry; Jun 28, 2004 at 03:40 AM. )
     
GoGoReggieXPowars
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Jun 28, 2004, 09:50 AM
 
Liberal minority for sure. I usually vote a week ahead in the advance polls in every election I can, but just couldn't be arsed last weekend, so I gotta do it when I get home from work today.

Oh, and I'm listening to Arcadia as I type...
     
ryju
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Jun 28, 2004, 09:53 AM
 
I have a job interview today... so I'll have to hit the voting up afterwards. Liberal here I come!
     
vcutag
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:05 AM
 
What's the attraction of the Conservatives, anyway?

Honestly, I've been doing some reading and I've talked to friends and family Up There, and I don't get it.
     
AB^2=BCxAC
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:10 AM
 
Originally posted by vcutag:
What's the attraction of the Conservatives, anyway?

Honestly, I've been doing some reading and I've talked to friends and family Up There, and I don't get it.
The conservatives are essentially Canadian republicans. The bitter taste of Mulroney is still strong on my tongue, so it's not likely I'll ever vote in that direction in my lifetime.
"I stand accused, just like you, for being born without a silver spoon." Richard Ashcroft
     
hooverzilla
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:30 AM
 
The way I see it is that a vote for the Liberal is essentially saying it's ok if our politicians lie and then try to cover it up.
( Last edited by hooverzilla; Jun 28, 2004 at 10:57 AM. )
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:50 AM
 
So how come this isn't in the politics forum?

BTW, it seems it's pretty much a lock in my area for an NDP seat, despite being a downtown Toronto riding. (It's Olivia Chow's riding, and she's Jack Layton's wife.)
     
wdlove
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:54 AM
 
There turn away from the current government would indicate a tiring of socialism. Hopefully they to are learning that it just doesn't work.

"Never give in, never give in, never, never, never, never - in nothing, great or small, large or petty - never give in except to convictions of honor and good sense." Winston Churchill
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:57 AM
 
Originally posted by wdlove:
There turn away from the current government would indicate a tiring of socialism. Hopefully they to are learning that it just doesn't work.
Martin was traditionally more right wing than the average Liberal.

Anyways, it's probably more of a reaction to direct events than philosophy. ie. Federal Liberal scandal, and tax increases by the Ontario Liberals.
     
Socially Awkward Solo
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:00 AM
 
As long as that asshole harper doesn't win I am happy.

"Laugh it up, fuzz ball!"
     
GoGoReggieXPowars
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:07 AM
 
Originally posted by vcutag:
What's the attraction of the Conservatives, anyway?

Honestly, I've been doing some reading and I've talked to friends and family Up There, and I don't get it.
I don't get it either. The merging of the Progressive Conservatives with the Alliance just boggles me.
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:18 AM
 
Originally posted by Socially Awkward Solo:
As long as that asshole harper doesn't win I am happy.
Well, a Liberal minority with the Bloc Qubcois holding the balance of power would make for a pretty strange 4 years too.
     
quandarry  (op)
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:33 AM
 
Originally posted by Eug Wanker:
So how come this isn't in the politics forum?
cuz we canadians keep it above the belt...i hope.

it's just a poll and hopefully not a major debate...i hope.

we are known to drink a few beers and a hockey game breaks out.

     
DBursey
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:34 AM
 
Wdlove, Canada does not have a socialist government. Then again, Margaret Thatcher was a socialist as compared to your far-right evangelical conservative movement. Everything is relative!

I'm calling a Liberal minority, then back to the polls before Christmas 2005.
     
quandarry  (op)
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:35 AM
 
Originally posted by Eug Wanker:
Well, a Liberal minority with the Bloc Qubcois holding the balance of power would make for a pretty strange 4 years too.
any party that tries to get in bed with the bloc will sign it's own death warrant for its future.

     
AB^2=BCxAC
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:37 AM
 
Originally posted by wdlove:
There turn away from the current government would indicate a tiring of socialism. Hopefully they to are learning that it just doesn't work.


FYI, Canadian socialism is consistantly being undermined and attacked, but that doesn't mean it doesn't work because its heart is the wrong place (unlike some greedy philosophies I know).
"I stand accused, just like you, for being born without a silver spoon." Richard Ashcroft
     
DBursey
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:44 AM
 
The basic difference between the Conservatives and the Bloc would be that the Bloc would devolve the role of the federal government to its (il)logical conclusion. Both would undermine the role of federalism in Canada, one overtly, the other surreptitiously.
     
GoGoReggieXPowars
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Jun 28, 2004, 12:05 PM
 
Originally posted by wdlove:
There turn away from the current government would indicate a tiring of socialism. Hopefully they to are learning that it just doesn't work.
What on Earth are you talking aboot?
     
bradoesch
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Jun 28, 2004, 01:37 PM
 
I couldn't decice between a liberal of conservative minority, but I voted conservative minority. This will be interesting...
     
gohoward
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Jun 28, 2004, 01:46 PM
 
gohoward only likes elections when the party's national committee takes his side over the competing candidates in his party.
     
davesimondotcom
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Jun 28, 2004, 02:09 PM
 
I would think that if the ref from game 6 of the Stanley Cup finals came out to support someone, whoever he supported would lose.

That was a GOAL, damnit!
[ sig removed - image host changed it to a big ad picture ]
     
Superchicken
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Jun 28, 2004, 02:30 PM
 
Jerome Iginla!

Uhh wait.... no I'm voting conservative but the NDP will win over here. I think Manitoba's like a huge strong hold for them.

I predict the Liberals some how squeaking away with a Minority government. Thankfully they won't be a majority

Wonder if the Conservatives and NDP can work together hahaha
     
KrazyEvilGoat
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Jun 28, 2004, 06:46 PM
 
Originally posted by GoGoReggieXPowars:
I don't get it either. The merging of the Progressive Conservatives with the Alliance just boggles me.
They both knew they each had a following, but apart they had no chance of touching the liberals.


I'm saying liberal minority, or a conservative minority. I'm thinking liberal because as much as people hate them, them hate harper more.
     
DBursey
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Jun 28, 2004, 08:27 PM
 
Liberals have an early lead.

Track the election results as the ridings are counted here.
     
shmerek
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Jun 28, 2004, 09:10 PM
 
I am in quebec and I am sure the bloc will win in my riding so I threw a 1.75 bone to the greens
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 09:44 PM
 
Originally posted by DBursey:
Liberals have an early lead.
Yeah, but that's because of the time zone. Essentially only the Maritimes have been counted. The West (and Central Canada) is where the Conservatives will win the seats.
     
KrazyEvilGoat
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Jun 28, 2004, 09:49 PM
 
Originally posted by Eug Wanker:
Yeah, but that's because of the time zone. Essentially only the Maritimes have been counted. The West (and Central Canada) is where the Conservatives will win the seats.
So far the liberals are 49, conservatives 14.
     
vcutag
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:25 PM
 
Originally posted by KrazyEvilGoat:
So far the liberals are 49, conservatives 14.

CBC just called a Liberal minority government.

My faith in parliamentary government and Canada has been saved. :-)
     
shmerek
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:32 PM
 
Originally posted by vcutag:
CBC just called a Liberal minority government.

My faith in parliamentary government and Canada has been saved. :-)
It's a little early to call it don't you think?
     
vcutag
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:35 PM
 
Originally posted by shmerek:
It's a little early to call it don't you think?
They already have 133 seats, they only need 22 more to form a majority.

Even given the Conservatives' strength in the west, I don't see them gaining 71 seats to form a majority, or even the 49 they'd need to beat out the Liberals.
     
shmerek
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:39 PM
 
cbc has them elected in 104 and leading in 28. I am hoping for a liberal minority myself.

Some of the projections I don't get. They say Valeri has been defeated but only 100 of the 234 polls have reported. How does that work? I am glad he is losing, serves them right for the Copps episode.
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:50 PM
 
Originally posted by Eug Wanker:
BTW, it seems it's pretty much a lock in my area for an NDP seat, despite being a downtown Toronto riding. (It's Olivia Chow's riding, and she's Jack Layton's wife.)
It seems I may be mistaken. I had forgotten the history of this riding... City politics don't translate into federal politics.

The Liberal guy has defeated Olivia Chow before, and is currently leading.

EDIT: Yup. Ianno has defeated Chow again. Layton's wife ain't going to Ottawa...
     
vcutag
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Jun 28, 2004, 10:53 PM
 
Originally posted by shmerek:
cbc has them elected in 104 and leading in 28. I am hoping for a liberal minority myself.

Some of the projections I don't get. They say Valeri has been defeated but only 100 of the 234 polls have reported. How does that work? I am glad he is losing, serves them right for the Copps episode.
I'm watching CBC over C-Span here in the States, and they've got it as follows:

Lib: 136
Con: 90
BQ: 54
NDP: 26
Other: 1
     
KrazyEvilGoat
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:20 PM
 
"If its a minority it will be living hell for the leaders, and for that we can be grateful for."


Hehe, us canadians use our votes to punish instead of reward
     
vcutag
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:23 PM
 
Originally posted by KrazyEvilGoat:
"If its a minority it will be living hell for the leaders, and for that we can be grateful for."


Hehe, us canadians use our votes to punish instead of reward
I love Rick Mercer, the man's a riot.

I'd love to see him and Jon Stewart on a show together.
     
Eug Wanker
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:33 PM
 
As expected, my mom's riding in Saskatchewan went Liberal, with Ralph Goodale.

However, I'm a little surprised that the entire rest of the province is going Conservative, esp. since Saskatchewan is the birthplace of the NDP. Then again I had been hearing that the NDP is esp. weak in Saskatchewan this time around (obviously).

EDIT:

Hmmm... Interesting. The Conservatives are doing worse than I had expected. The Liberals have 134 (won or leading) and the NDP have 25 (won or leading), for a total of 159 seats.

A majority would be 155 seats. It's quite possible that this minority Liberal government will have enough seats in the NDP to form a (rocky) alliance, bypassing the Bloc and the Conservatives altogether.

Methinks the country has just shifted to the left...
( Last edited by Eug Wanker; Jun 28, 2004 at 11:47 PM. )
     
ghost_flash
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Jun 28, 2004, 11:47 PM
 
I'll be voting conservative. :
...
     
KrazyEvilGoat
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Jun 29, 2004, 12:08 AM
 
Originally posted by vcutag:
I love Rick Mercer, the man's a riot.

I'd love to see him and Jon Stewart on a show together.
Yeah, he's great.

He still doing made in canada? 22 Minutes just wasn't the same without him.
     
   
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