This afternoon Kevin Lynch and Jeremy Allaire (CEO and CTO) of Macromedia will be delivering their keynote address at Macromedia's own Web World conference. This, of course, would be a perfect time to announce updates (preferably native X updates) to either Flash, Dreamweaver, or Fireworks.
Think we will see any of the above?
Best case..we see updates to all three.
Worst case...only the windows side gets any updates at all.
Regardless, if they don't get off of their asses and do something or at least acknowledge that they are working on something, then they deserve every percentage of market share they lose to Adobe.