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You are here: MacNN Forums > Community > MacNN Lounge > Political/War Lounge > Gallup Poll (10/31/08): Obama's largest margin to date

Gallup Poll (10/31/08): Obama's largest margin to date
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hyteckit
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Nov 1, 2008, 01:50 AM
 
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx

Obama is kicking McCain's behind really badly on all three Gallup Polls: Registered Voters, Likely Voters (Expanded), and Likely Voters (Traditional). All three with Obama leading by at least 8 points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111679/Ga...All-Bases.aspx

Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters -- 51% to 43% -- his largest margin to date using this historical Gallup Poll voter model.
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besson3c
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Nov 1, 2008, 01:52 AM
 
The RCP average has Obama at 50% now:

http://realclearpolitics.com/
     
kobi
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Nov 1, 2008, 02:03 AM
 
Fivethirtyeight.com is all I have to say. Every poll all in one place.

They have McCain with a 2.8% chance to win. lol

Can't wait for Tuesday.
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stupendousman
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Nov 1, 2008, 02:07 AM
 
Originally Posted by kobi View Post
Fivethirtyeight.com is all I have to say. Every poll all in one place.

They have McCain with a 2.8% chance to win. lol

Can't wait for Tuesday.
Wow. A blog with poll results, written by a liberal supporter of Obama says that McCain only has a 2.8% chance to win. I'm super surprised!!!!

Take the Zogby poll showing McCain is leading, and the Gallup poll that shows Obama up 8, make yourself a ham sandwhich and ponder just who it was that first put a piece of cheese and a slice of ham together. Did that guy get it right, or what!!!
     
besson3c
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Nov 1, 2008, 02:23 AM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
Wow. A blog with poll results, written by a liberal supporter of Obama says that McCain only has a 2.8% chance to win. I'm super surprised!!!!

Take the Zogby poll showing McCain is leading, and the Gallup poll that shows Obama up 8, make yourself a ham sandwhich and ponder just who it was that first put a piece of cheese and a slice of ham together. Did that guy get it right, or what!!!
There is no magic behind this number. He simply takes the polling averages and comes up with numbers no radically different than many other pollsters, and then computes the probability of a particular scenario based on all possible combinations.
     
goMac
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Nov 1, 2008, 04:11 AM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
Wow. A blog with poll results, written by a liberal supporter of Obama says that McCain only has a 2.8% chance to win. I'm super surprised!!!!

Take the Zogby poll showing McCain is leading, and the Gallup poll that shows Obama up 8, make yourself a ham sandwhich and ponder just who it was that first put a piece of cheese and a slice of ham together. Did that guy get it right, or what!!!
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James L
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Nov 1, 2008, 04:51 PM
 
Originally Posted by goMac View Post
"Evacuate?!?! In our moment of triumph?!!?" - The McCain Campaign
Life is always good when you can work a Star Wars quote into a presidential election!

     
Chuckit
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Nov 1, 2008, 09:22 PM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
Wow. A blog with poll results, written by a liberal supporter of Obama says that McCain only has a 2.8% chance to win. I'm super surprised!!!!

Take the Zogby poll showing McCain is leading, and the Gallup poll that shows Obama up 8, make yourself a ham sandwhich and ponder just who it was that first put a piece of cheese and a slice of ham together. Did that guy get it right, or what!!!
Math has a well-known liberal bias.
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stupendousman
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Nov 1, 2008, 11:52 PM
 
Originally Posted by Chuckit View Post
Math has a well-known liberal bias.
..as do most other subjects taught at institutes of higher learning.
     
besson3c
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Nov 2, 2008, 12:10 AM
 
Most other subjects? Heh... I hope you meant most other subjects in the area of political science, and you don't think that subjects like Japanese 101 have a liberal bias?
     
Paco500
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Nov 3, 2008, 03:36 AM
 
Originally Posted by besson3c View Post
Most other subjects? Heh... I hope you meant most other subjects in the area of political science, and you don't think that subjects like Japanese 101 have a liberal bias?
Does the Nobel organization give out a prize for Japanese 101?
     
villalobos
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Nov 3, 2008, 08:41 AM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
..as do most other subjects taught at institutes of higher learning.
I am pretty sure my molecuales could not care less about the enxt president. Although it ought to be said that the biological world spins left.
     
stupendousman
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Nov 3, 2008, 09:45 AM
 
Okay.

Maybe not math and foreign languages.

Also, probably not stuff like arts and crafts.

If I can think of any more, I'll let you know.
     
besson3c
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Nov 3, 2008, 10:43 AM
 
Science, Physics, Engineering, IT, Food/Nutrition/Agriculture, History, do you really need more? There are more subjects that have nothing to do with politics than the reverse.

No offense, but this is a pretty dumb, ill-conceived statement.
     
stupendousman
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Nov 3, 2008, 11:05 AM
 
Guys, I'm sorry. Apparently my sense of humor is a little too dry for some.
     
besson3c
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Nov 3, 2008, 11:09 AM
 
Sorry, I've grown used to being exposed to some pretty crazy stuff around here...
     
zerostar
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Nov 3, 2008, 11:26 AM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
Take the Zogby poll showing McCain is leading, and the Gallup poll that shows Obama up 8,
Show me this Zoby poll.... oh you mean the 1 day of the 3 day poll that was 125 people? surely you can't be serious. You do know Obama is at +7 in that poll right?

Talk about clinging to anything you can.
     
tie
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Nov 3, 2008, 11:57 AM
 
stupendousman, considering you claimed that science Nobel prizes were given out for political reasons, and that the science behind them was often in doubt, it is not surprising that people don't take your know-nothing posts for humor.
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stupendousman
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Nov 3, 2008, 01:23 PM
 
Originally Posted by tie View Post
stupendousman, considering you claimed that science Nobel prizes were given out for political reasons, and that the science behind them was often in doubt, it is not surprising that people don't take your know-nothing posts for humor.
Tie, considering you still have problems with attributing arguments to people they never make, it's not surprising you'd have difficulty understanding things that require being able to understand nuanced subtleties using things like dry humor, irony or sarcasm.
     
Sayf-Allah
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Nov 3, 2008, 01:27 PM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
..as do most other subjects taught at institutes of higher learning.
lol

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besson3c
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Nov 3, 2008, 05:08 PM
 
stupendousman: I really like liberals, they are better than conservatives.
     
olePigeon
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Nov 3, 2008, 05:47 PM
 
Originally Posted by stupendousman View Post
Tie, considering you still have problems with attributing arguments to people they never make, it's not surprising you'd have difficulty understanding things that require being able to understand nuanced subtleties using things like dry humor, irony or sarcasm.
Except you did make that argument.
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